Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +3 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -4.5 (+7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.2 (-37.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -4.2 (+7.2) | 148.0 (-29.0) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -4.5 (+7.5) | 146.3 (-27.3) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -5.0 (+8.0) | 149.1 (-30.1) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -4.8 (+7.8) | 150.7 (-31.7) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2020 | ARMY 63 – 59 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-7 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-10 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#321) | 4.7 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.61 (#357) | 1.15 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.62 (#358) | 1.98 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.215 (#348) | 0.582 (#100) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.9% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 78.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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