Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +4 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -20.2 (-16.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -11.9 (-7.9) | 131.5 (-9.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -13.5 (-9.5) | 135.3 (-13.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -14.8 (-10.8) | 134.8 (-12.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -15.1 (-11.1) | 136.9 (-14.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2021 | LAS 61 – 58 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#76) | -7.5 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#73) | -1.45 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#70) | -1.81 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#46) | 0.385 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.3% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 27.0% |
| ORB% | 19.2% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 81.7% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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