Betting Lines
| Spread | MSU -22.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSU +24 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | MSU -20.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSU -19.2 (+4.8) | 150.5 (-8.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSU -16.8 (+7.2) | 149.8 (-7.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSU -20.2 (+3.8) | 151.4 (-9.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSU -19.2 (+4.8) | 154.5 (-12.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2020 | MSU 83 – 67 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 5-15 |
| Home | 12-3 | 8-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 12.6 (#20) | 1.2 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#67) | -1.13 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.17 (#56) | -1.15 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.757 (#8) | 0.483 (#203) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSU | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 45.3 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 41.9% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.9% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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