Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCW -8.0 Home covered |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCW +4 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | DSU -5.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 109.8 (+20.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DSU -3.4 (-7.4) | 124.2 (+5.8) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DSU -3.6 (-7.6) | 124.8 (+5.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DSU -0.6 (-4.6) | 129.7 (+0.3) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2020 | UNCW 87 – 63 DSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | UNCW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-26 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 0-14 | 15-3 |
| Home | 2-11 | 12-2 |
| Away | 0-13 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L25 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#232) | 0.0 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#302) | -1.25 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.48 (#314) | -1.87 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.183 (#354) | 0.253 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | UNCW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 31.7% | 33.5% |
| 3PT% | 23.8% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.33 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 35.8% | 38.7% |
| TOV% | 27.2% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 35.9% | 40.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
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