That's where you'll find me, along with the lovers muggers and thieves - but they're cool people. "Dirty Water" - The Standells
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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62–34 on winners spread MAE 9.9 96 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Gonzaga @ Kentucky -0.2 155.3 39% 94–59 ✓
South Carolina State @ Bethune-Cookman +13.7 145.9 89% 59–80 ✓
NJIT @ High Point +24.5 153.9 91% 72–89 ✓
South Alabama @ East Tennessee State +6.5 140.8 74% 65–91 ✓
Samford @ VCU +22.0 149.2 90% 57–83 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Iona +5.0 159.3 76% 89–68 ✗
Mercyhurst @ Lafayette -1.9 128.1 42% 71–79 ✗
Bryant @ Brown +5.7 127.0 72% 56–75 ✓
Niagara @ Siena +11.8 126.8 85% 54–83 ✓
Canisius @ Saint Peter's +3.6 127.1 69% 57–69 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Marist +14.0 133.3 87% 56–64 ✓
Fairfield @ Manhattan -1.4 158.1 44% 66–70 ✗
East Texas A&M @ UConn +27.9 139.2 91% 59–83 ✓
UAB @ Drake +4.9 144.3 71% 74–69 ✗
Cincinnati @ Xavier +6.0 147.3 78% 74–79 ✓
Northwestern State @ McNeese +22.7 143.1 90% 54–92 ✓
Notre Dame @ TCU +10.4 138.7 79% 87–85 ✗
San Diego @ San José State +5.7 135.3 73% 69–86 ✓
Iowa State @ Purdue +6.2 155.4 72% 81–58 ✗
Duke @ Michigan State +2.8 137.0 54% 66–60 ✗
Monmouth @ Georgia Tech +6.7 143.7 71% 67–79 ✓
New Haven @ Boston College +12.9 125.6 86% 63–67 ✓
Rhode Island @ Providence +3.4 155.1 55% 71–90 ✓
Dayton @ Virginia +8.1 149.6 80% 73–86 ✓
Southern Miss @ Miami +18.3 146.2 88% 64–88 ✓
UMBC @ Bucknell +1.8 140.6 54% 73–66 ✗
Old Dominion @ Richmond +16.9 150.8 88% 77–86 ✓
Utah Valley @ Bowling Green +6.5 142.1 79% 82–71 ✗
Maine @ Miami (OH) +16.0 134.6 88% 61–93 ✓
UNC Asheville @ NC State +18.3 152.0 87% 63–75 ✓
Drexel @ La Salle +2.9 132.9 62% 64–69 ✓
Western Michigan @ SIU Edwardsville +8.9 139.8 78% 83–73 ✗
Norfolk State @ James Madison +5.4 135.3 77% 67–68 ✓
Delaware @ Delaware State -2.5 130.7 36% 72–75 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ Winthrop +14.8 153.9 83% 88–84 ✗
Georgia Southern @ Gardner-Webb -6.3 155.2 24% 88–84 ✓
Morehead State @ Presbyterian +5.5 127.9 65% 72–80 ✓
Western Carolina @ South Carolina Upstate +8.9 145.3 80% 67–78 ✓
Ohio State @ Northwestern +2.5 148.5 60% 86–82 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ West Georgia +6.2 148.1 73% 87–59 ✗
Stetson @ South Carolina +19.1 145.3 90% 51–82 ✓
Jacksonville @ Florida International +4.1 140.5 69% 65–88 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ American University +11.1 131.2 83% 60–78 ✓
Marquette @ Wisconsin +15.6 158.6 86% 76–96 ✓
Coppin State @ Liberty +27.3 145.6 91% 50–92 ✓
Boise State @ Butler +10.1 144.0 81% 77–68 ✗
Youngstown State @ IU Indianapolis -2.4 154.6 48% 78–55 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Cleveland State -1.0 154.8 46% 71–59 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Purdue Fort Wayne -1.8 148.0 41% 77–79 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Buffalo +4.0 139.3 61% 77–69 ✗
Stony Brook @ Duquesne +2.9 148.2 64% 75–84 ✓
Holy Cross @ Fordham +6.2 129.3 71% 70–69 ✗
Harvard @ Furman +5.9 137.7 67% 69–79 ✓
Indiana @ Louisville +3.5 153.8 54% 78–87 ✓
Princeton @ Loyola Chicago +0.7 131.7 47% 68–73 ✓
Georgia State @ Kennesaw State +15.5 156.2 86% 69–92 ✓
Idaho @ South Dakota State +5.1 139.8 69% 84–81 ✗
Toledo @ Oakland +6.5 158.5 75% 97–98 ✓
Missouri State @ Tulsa +20.7 141.7 90% 74–98 ✓
Bellarmine @ Murray State +20.5 152.6 89% 68–81 ✓
George Mason @ Virginia Tech +2.3 147.4 58% 62–73 ✓
Rutgers @ Michigan +26.2 142.7 90% 60–101 ✓
Fresno State @ Arkansas +18.9 152.5 87% 58–82 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ North Carolina Central -1.0 138.4 38% 69–54 ✓
Elon @ Wofford +6.3 157.7 73% 73–52 ✗
Marshall @ Ohio +1.0 150.8 59% 81–88 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Massachusetts +12.5 146.2 86% 60–80 ✓
Maryland @ Iowa +17.0 139.5 87% 64–83 ✓
Dartmouth @ Wyoming +23.8 150.3 90% 80–93 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Louisiana -14.7 129.1 14% 70–63 ✓
New Mexico State @ Abilene Christian -2.9 130.8 41% 69–77 ✗
Evansville @ Western Kentucky +17.9 148.2 88% 79–80 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ East Carolina +3.8 141.0 65% 82–78 ✗
Le Moyne @ Binghamton +0.5 146.1 51% 78–63 ✗
Akron @ Tulane -11.4 164.8 26% 88–71 ✓
Seton Hall @ Kansas State +2.0 142.7 49% 78–67 ✗
Longwood @ Morgan State +1.8 150.8 63% 84–80 ✗
Incarnate Word @ Nicholls -0.9 141.6 52% 67–74 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ Temple +6.0 149.3 67% 70–69 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Chattanooga +2.1 146.6 57% 74–70 ✗
Baylor @ Memphis +0.4 152.8 50% 71–78 ✓
Omaha @ Portland State +10.8 150.5 84% 60–55 ✗
Vermont @ Pepperdine +1.1 145.1 48% 65–56 ✗
Southern Utah @ Oregon State +13.1 144.2 87% 70–81 ✓
Kansas City @ Eastern Washington +6.6 146.8 69% 66–90 ✓
Sam Houston @ Texas Southern -11.0 156.0 17% 82–70 ✓
Colorado @ Colorado State +4.2 151.0 67% 86–91 ✓
Pacific @ California +7.3 137.2 77% 61–67 ✓
Long Island University @ Lehigh +1.3 145.4 55% 87–82 ✗
UAlbany @ Columbia +20.9 138.9 90% 65–93 ✓
Washington @ USC +7.4 156.0 74% 84–76 ✗
Oregon @ UCLA +13.8 142.4 87% 63–74 ✓
Denver @ Idaho State +10.6 141.9 86% 79–93 ✓
Wake Forest @ West Virginia +2.1 139.9 47% 75–66 ✗
William & Mary @ George Washington +8.5 159.0 78% 86–99 ✓
Houston Christian @ New Orleans +6.2 137.2 71% 85–76 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.