Betting Lines
| Spread | CAL -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | CAL -395 PAC +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAL +6 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | CAL -8.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (-15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAL -10.0 (-4.0) | 140.6 (-12.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAL -7.4 (-1.4) | 137.6 (-9.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAL -7.0 (-1.0) | 138.5 (-10.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAL -7.3 (-1.3) | 137.2 (-9.2) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2023 | PAC 87 – 79 CAL |
| Dec 22, 2021 | CAL 73 – 53 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAL | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 17-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#67) | 5.2 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.14 (#44) | 1.78 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.87 (#54) | 2.54 (#62) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#59) | 0.565 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAL | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.