Betting Lines
| Spread | CAL -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | CAL -600 PAC +430 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PAC +8 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | CAL -22.8 (-30.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (+33.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAL -11.9 (-19.9) | 135.3 (+30.7) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CAL -15.2 (-23.2) | 132.7 (+33.3) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | CAL 67 – 61 PAC |
| Dec 22, 2021 | CAL 73 – 53 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAL | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 0-16 |
| Home | 10-6 | 5-12 |
| Away | 3-8 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L23 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 81.4 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#220) | -11.0 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#59) | -3.21 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#128) | -4.72 (#302) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAL | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 46.7% | 16.7% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 40.6% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 27.3% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 17.6% |
| FT Rate | 32.7% | 7.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.4% | 40.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 24.8% |
| DRB% | 81.5% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 3.8% | 45.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.