Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -125 UAB +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +5 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -5.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -4.7 (-9.7) | 144.3 (-1.3) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -5.8 (-10.8) | 142.3 (+0.7) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -5.7 (-10.7) | 143.9 (-0.9) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -4.9 (-9.9) | 144.3 (-1.3) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2023 | UAB 79 – 78 DRKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-11 | 8-9 |
| Away | 4-7 | 10-2 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#102) | 5.0 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#178) | 0.71 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#149) | 1.24 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#176) | 0.505 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 26.0% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 42.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 15.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.68 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 12.7% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 37.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.1% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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