Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 174.5 Over |
| Money | GW -1050 W&M +675 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +13 | 185 | Won |
| Massey | GW -9.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 174.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -9.7 (+3.3) | 158.0 (+27.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -7.1 (+5.9) | 158.7 (+26.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -7.7 (+5.3) | 159.0 (+26.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -8.5 (+4.5) | 159.0 (+26.0) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2023 | GW 95 – 89 W&M |
| Dec 15, 2020 | W&M 85 – 84 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 78.9 |
| Massey | 12.8 (#37) | 8.1 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#88) | 2.26 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.26 (#72) | 3.59 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#105) | 0.595 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.0% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.0% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 38.1% | 32.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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