Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | GW -265 W&M +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +1 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | GW -4.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.7 (+7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -3.3 (-4.3) | 154.5 (+14.5) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GW -3.7 (-4.7) | 153.9 (+15.1) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -3.2 (-4.2) | 154.3 (+14.7) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | GW 99 – 86 W&M |
| Nov 11, 2023 | GW 95 – 89 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-12 | 7-10 |
| Conference | 3-5 | 4-6 |
| Home | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Away | 1-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#174) | 0.4 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#274) | -0.39 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.30 (#255) | -0.32 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.310 (#306) | 0.335 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 50.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 50.0% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 62.3% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 17.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 11.2% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.7% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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