Betting Lines
| Spread | PRES -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | PRES -325 MORE +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRES +8 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | PRES -7.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.8 (+26.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRES -5.7 (+2.3) | 127.4 (+24.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRES -4.8 (+3.2) | 127.7 (+24.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRES -4.9 (+3.1) | 129.4 (+22.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRES -5.5 (+2.5) | 127.9 (+24.1) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2021 | MORE 71 – 66 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 15-5 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-13 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#262) | -8.3 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#255) | -1.48 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#289) | -2.33 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#272) | 0.434 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.1% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 14.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 36.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 60.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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