Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +5 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -14.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.2 (+18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -11.9 (-6.9) | 128.0 (+9.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -10.1 (-5.1) | 128.9 (+8.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -11.8 (-6.8) | 128.2 (+8.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -11.1 (-6.1) | 128.0 (+9.0) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | PRES 80 – 72 MORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#101) | -5.4 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#69) | 1.12 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#66) | 1.08 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.628 (#29) | 0.570 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 36.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 25.1% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 15.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 41.2% |
| TOV% | 23.4% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 37.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 77.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 8.8% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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