Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | M-OH -2100 ME +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +32 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | M-OH -18.2 (+13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (+13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -15.8 (+16.2) | 134.5 (+19.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -15.0 (+17.0) | 136.5 (+17.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -15.0 (+17.0) | 133.3 (+20.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -16.0 (+16.0) | 134.6 (+19.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-2 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 18-0 | 6-10 |
| Home | 16-0 | 4-8 |
| Away | 14-0 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.3 | 61.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#122) | -9.6 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.90 (#52) | -4.04 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#61) | -5.42 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#165) | 0.340 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 28.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 32.0% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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