Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | WYO -1450 DART +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +13 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -25.1 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.2 (+15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -19.4 (-6.4) | 151.0 (+22.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -20.8 (-7.8) | 148.5 (+24.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -23.6 (-10.6) | 148.9 (+24.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -23.8 (-10.8) | 150.3 (+22.7) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 11-16 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 5-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 5-8 |
| Away | 3-10 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 78.4 |
| Massey | 11.9 (#43) | -8.2 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#102) | -2.66 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#107) | -4.34 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#106) | 0.337 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 37.2% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 30.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.8% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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