Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | GT -675 MONM +490 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +12 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | GT -6.9 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -6.7 (+5.3) | 143.7 (+2.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | GT -7.7 (+4.3) | 142.1 (+3.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | GT -5.7 (+6.3) | 141.1 (+4.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GT -5.4 (+6.6) | 142.1 (+3.9) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-9 | 10-4 |
| Away | 1-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#183) | -2.9 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#217) | -0.71 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#224) | -1.95 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#213) | 0.459 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 40.9 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 33.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.