Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | UTC -185 SEMO +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEMO +4 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | SEMO -0.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -2.0 (-6.0) | 144.6 (-0.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -1.5 (-5.5) | 146.2 (-2.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -1.7 (-5.7) | 147.7 (-3.7) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -2.1 (-6.1) | 146.6 (-2.6) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2024 | UTC 87 – 82 SEMO |
| Nov 26, 2023 | UTC 72 – 56 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 7-8 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#298) | -3.5 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#262) | -1.12 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#261) | -1.12 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#308) | 0.457 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 26.6% |
| REB / G | 28.7 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 58.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.6% | 40.7% |
Game Analysis
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