Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | SDST -250 IDHO +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +3 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | SDST -5.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (+22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -6.0 (-9.0) | 142.0 (+23.0) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -4.3 (-7.3) | 140.0 (+25.0) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -4.6 (-7.6) | 140.3 (+24.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -5.1 (-8.1) | 139.8 (+25.2) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2021 | IDHO 98 – 84 SDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-10 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#142) | 1.3 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#195) | 0.12 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#180) | 0.04 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#223) | 0.483 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 77.9% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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