Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -20.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +14 | 182 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -20.3 (+34.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 174.6 (+7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -10.6 (+24.6) | 164.3 (+17.7) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -10.3 (+24.3) | 164.8 (+17.2) | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -12.1 (+26.1) | 165.9 (+16.1) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -9.6 (+23.6) | 162.2 (+19.8) | 25% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | IDHO 84 – 81 SDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 30-5 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 18-0 |
| Home | 8-7 | 14-0 |
| Away | 1-12 | 10-3 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 84.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.3 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -17.2 (#355) | 7.7 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.27 (#357) | 1.44 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.52 (#352) | 1.68 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.345 (#346) | 0.595 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.4% | 50.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 42.7% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 58.5% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 63.9% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 14.6% |
Game Analysis
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