Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | UK +190 GONZ -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +35 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | GONZ -4.1 (-30.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -3.7 (-31.3) | 154.5 (-1.5) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -2.9 (-32.1) | 149.4 (+3.6) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -3.1 (-31.9) | 147.5 (+5.5) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -3.1 (-31.9) | 150.1 (+2.9) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2024 | UK 90 – 89 GONZ |
| Feb 10, 2024 | GONZ 89 – 85 UK |
| Nov 21, 2022 | GONZ 88 – 72 UK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 31-4 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 16-2 |
| Home | 14-4 | 15-0 |
| Away | 4-6 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 84.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 19.8 (#11) | 23.9 (#4) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#158) | 3.95 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#125) | 6.22 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#175) | 0.677 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.8% | 50.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 44.2 | 44.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.83 | 1.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 37.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.5% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.