Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | WOF -192 ELON +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +21 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | WOF -4.5 (-25.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.0 (-47.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -6.3 (-27.3) | 157.7 (-32.7) | 73% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | WOF -3.2 (-24.2) | 158.7 (-33.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | WOF -4.7 (-25.7) | 159.0 (-34.0) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -4.5 (-25.5) | 161.8 (-36.8) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2024 | ELON 79 – 56 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-8 |
| Away | 9-7 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.4 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 79.3 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#206) | -2.1 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#104) | -0.51 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#131) | -1.02 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#126) | 0.445 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 36.7% |
| FT Rate | 31.7% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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