Betting Lines
| Spread | WGA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | WGA -142 TNTC +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +28 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | WGA -5.6 (-33.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WGA -3.4 (-31.4) | 151.3 (-5.3) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WGA -5.7 (-33.7) | 147.9 (-1.9) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WGA -6.0 (-34.0) | 149.2 (-3.2) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WGA -6.2 (-34.2) | 148.1 (-2.1) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2025 | WGA 61 – 59 TNTC |
| Dec 7, 2024 | WGA 78 – 73 TNTC |
| Nov 13, 2024 | TNTC 76 – 73 WGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WGA | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.5 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#242) | -5.3 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#84) | -0.53 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#141) | -0.75 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#120) | 0.449 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WGA | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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