Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | TNTC -195 WGA +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WGA +2 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | TNTC -19.4 (-21.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-29.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNTC -12.0 (-14.0) | 143.5 (-23.5) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -11.1 (-13.1) | 142.9 (-22.9) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -11.9 (-13.9) | 143.2 (-23.2) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -10.2 (-12.2) | 143.4 (-23.4) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | TNTC 87 – 59 WGA |
| Dec 7, 2024 | WGA 78 – 73 TNTC |
| Nov 13, 2024 | TNTC 76 – 73 WGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 80.5 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#148) | -10.2 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#244) | -0.69 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#215) | -1.07 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#281) | 0.426 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 25.4% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 62.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.5% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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