Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | TNTC -280 WGA +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNTC +3 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | TNTC -25.3 (-22.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (+3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -13.8 (-10.8) | 142.4 (+6.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -15.6 (-12.6) | 144.5 (+4.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -15.2 (-12.2) | 146.2 (+2.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | TNTC 87 – 59 WGA |
| Nov 18, 2025 | WGA 61 – 59 TNTC |
| Dec 7, 2024 | WGA 78 – 73 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-5 | 4-8 |
| Away | 5-10 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L3 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#82) | -9.5 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#216) | -1.03 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#203) | -1.61 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#125) | 0.375 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.3% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 25.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.2% | 41.5% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 17.6% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 11.5% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 59.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 54.3% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 15.8% |
Game Analysis
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