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Baseline Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–2 on winners
spread MAE 7.6
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Citadel
@
Davidson
|
+22.7 | 143.2 | 91% | 63–79 | ✓ |
Utah State
@
South Florida
|
+2.7 | 157.8 | 56% | 61–74 | ✓ |
Rider
@
Merrimack
|
+13.6 | 132.2 | 88% | 66–68 | ✓ |
Robert Morris
@
Green Bay
|
+2.1 | 136.3 | 63% | 80–78 | ✗ |
Long Beach State
@
UC Santa Barbara
|
+10.2 | 145.4 | 79% | 77–84 | ✓ |
Cal State Bakersfield
@
Cal State Northridge
|
+1.8 | 150.1 | 58% | 66–87 | ✓ |
Cal Poly
@
Cal State Fullerton
|
+5.0 | 163.1 | 66% | 94–91 | ✗ |
UC Riverside
@
UC Irvine
|
+9.1 | 133.0 | 77% | 60–73 | ✓ |
UC Davis
@
Hawai'i
|
+5.0 | 138.6 | 70% | 69–75 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.