They smelled of pubs and Wormwood Scrubs and too many right wing meetings. "Down in the Tube Station at Midnight" - The Jam
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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53–12 on winners spread MAE 9.6 65 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Indiana @ Minnesota -9.7 136.3 29% 64–73 ✗
Southern Indiana @ Western Michigan +6.2 151.1 72% 74–88 ✓
North Carolina Central @ James Madison +14.5 143.9 88% 62–67 ✓
Louisiana @ Lamar +15.6 129.9 87% 55–65 ✓
Drexel @ American University +5.6 141.0 64% 73–75 ✓
Cornell @ Towson +5.6 145.2 71% 80–93 ✓
New Hampshire @ Dartmouth +8.9 137.2 78% 68–69 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ South Carolina Upstate +4.6 140.7 64% 78–85 ✓
Southern Illinois @ High Point +16.1 158.9 85% 86–84 ✗
Presbyterian @ Wofford +7.6 134.7 70% 56–63 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Georgia Southern +2.8 135.3 59% 69–77 ✓
Southern Miss @ Radford -7.8 148.0 25% 82–75 ✓
Furman @ Elon +7.9 147.7 75% 97–88 ✗
Marshall @ UNC Wilmington +9.5 145.4 81% 69–70 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Queens University +17.7 151.6 89% 74–107 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Florida International +1.6 155.4 60% 83–89 ✓
Austin Peay @ Kent State +0.8 151.9 58% 84–96 ✓
Maine @ Ohio +5.5 132.7 60% 57–79 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Hampton +7.6 138.3 72% 71–93 ✓
Navy @ Delaware State -7.9 131.9 18% 66–59 ✓
Coppin State @ West Virginia +26.6 133.3 91% 49–91 ✓
Hofstra @ Columbia +8.6 141.2 75% 70–72 ✓
Cleveland State @ Northern Kentucky +13.9 148.8 88% 80–95 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Oakland +11.1 157.1 85% 92–101 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Detroit Mercy +1.7 157.3 59% 78–92 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Mount St. Mary's -1.6 149.6 44% 87–80 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Seton Hall +14.5 135.8 84% 61–77 ✓
Harvard @ Massachusetts +4.0 136.3 66% 71–78 ✓
Bucknell @ Akron +25.7 152.8 90% 77–97 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Stephen F. Austin +6.9 147.3 78% 60–73 ✓
Louisville @ Arkansas +1.1 166.8 58% 80–89 ✓
Clemson @ Alabama +10.5 161.2 72% 84–90 ✓
LSU @ Boston College -5.7 141.9 28% 78–69 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ UL Monroe +7.5 153.1 84% 52–66 ✓
Little Rock @ Central Arkansas +5.4 133.9 67% 47–85 ✓
Richmond @ Belmont +10.4 152.9 83% 84–76 ✗
Alcorn State @ Iowa State +34.5 152.7 91% 68–132 ✓
Tennessee State @ Alabama A&M -0.8 144.7 44% 53–80 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Omaha -7.6 158.8 29% 75–70 ✓
South Dakota State @ Northern Arizona +3.8 141.0 60% 75–62 ✗
Princeton @ Monmouth +5.4 139.6 71% 58–63 ✓
Idaho State @ Kansas City -8.1 134.6 21% 68–59 ✓
UMBC @ Georgetown +13.4 143.1 86% 81–90 ✓
Ball State @ Evansville +5.0 133.6 61% 52–64 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Illinois State +18.5 147.5 87% 78–89 ✓
Portland State @ South Dakota -0.1 155.2 52% 77–71 ✓
New Orleans @ Memphis +5.4 146.8 70% 70–86 ✓
California Baptist @ BYU +14.3 144.0 84% 60–91 ✓
North Dakota State @ Montana +2.7 151.0 62% 81–72 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Weber State +9.0 150.3 81% 66–92 ✓
Texas State @ Rice +4.6 134.9 64% 72–77 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Montana State +4.3 141.3 68% 74–82 ✓
Northwestern @ Wisconsin +5.4 154.3 71% 73–85 ✓
North Dakota @ Idaho +10.8 143.1 83% 58–90 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Denver +8.0 149.7 74% 89–93 ✓
Pacific @ Air Force -7.4 129.5 26% 80–65 ✓
SMU @ Vanderbilt +14.7 163.9 86% 69–88 ✓
Virginia @ Texas +4.8 152.3 71% 88–69 ✗
Mississippi State @ Georgia Tech +4.8 151.7 72% 85–73 ✗
NC State @ Auburn +5.2 170.0 69% 73–83 ✓
Vermont @ Oregon State -1.8 147.7 42% 58–80 ✗
Utah Tech @ Santa Clara +21.9 143.4 90% 80–90 ✓
Utah Valley @ San Diego State +0.4 151.6 56% 66–77 ✓
North Alabama @ San Francisco +12.5 141.0 85% 65–63 ✗
UCLA @ Washington +3.3 138.7 69% 82–80 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.