Betting Lines
| Spread | COLU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | COLU -162 HOF +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLU +2 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | COLU -7.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLU -5.1 (-3.1) | 139.6 (+2.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLU -9.0 (-7.0) | 140.9 (+1.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLU -9.2 (-7.2) | 141.6 (+0.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLU -8.6 (-6.6) | 141.2 (+0.8) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 10-2 |
| Away | 7-7 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#84) | 5.2 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.96 (#23) | 0.90 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.27 (#25) | 1.15 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#56) | 0.554 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 42.2% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 41.4 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.6% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 40.2% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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