Betting Lines
| Spread | DART -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | DART -455 UNH +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DART +1 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | DART -11.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DART -10.0 (-9.0) | 140.2 (-3.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DART -8.7 (-7.7) | 137.1 (-0.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DART -8.8 (-7.8) | 138.3 (-1.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DART -8.9 (-7.9) | 137.2 (-0.2) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2024 | DART 69 – 65 UNH |
| Dec 7, 2023 | DART 76 – 64 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-16 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 5-11 |
| Home | 5-8 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-8 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 76.4 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#264) | -12.5 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.69 (#338) | -3.55 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.18 (#338) | -5.49 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.340 (#355) | 0.413 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 35.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 26.9% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 41.1% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 34.3% | 13.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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