Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | DART +175 UNH -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DART +12 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | UNH -6.1 (+18.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -5.3 (+17.3) | 139.2 (+0.8) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -4.7 (+16.7) | 138.8 (+1.2) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -4.4 (+16.4) | 139.0 (+1.0) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -5.3 (+17.3) | 141.7 (-1.7) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | DART 69 – 68 UNH |
| Dec 4, 2024 | DART 69 – 65 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-21 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 7-9 |
| Home | 6-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 0-14 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#328) | 2.4 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#303) | 1.49 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.17 (#296) | 1.81 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#312) | 0.582 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 23.1% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.3% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 20.1% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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