Betting Lines
| Spread | DART -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UNH +130 DART -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DART +4 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | UNH -0.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -0.6 (-4.6) | 142.5 (-8.5) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DART -0.5 (-3.5) | 138.5 (-4.5) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -0.5 (-4.5) | 140.3 (-6.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DART -0.6 (-3.4) | 141.8 (-7.8) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | DART 69 – 68 UNH |
| Dec 7, 2023 | DART 76 – 64 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 14-14 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 8-6 |
| Home | 6-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-15 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -15.4 (#354) | -10.3 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.55 (#358) | -0.78 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.42 (#361) | -1.80 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.333 (#361) | 0.466 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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