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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–15 on winners spread MAE 10.5 51 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Iowa @ Michigan State +6.6 134.8 72% 52–71 ✓
Tennessee @ Syracuse -1.9 144.6 42% 60–62 ✗
New Mexico State @ South Alabama -1.4 132.7 51% 75–77 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ UNC Asheville +7.1 141.4 74% 77–82 ✓
Jackson State @ Kennesaw State +17.0 152.4 89% 73–88 ✓
Cornell @ George Mason +12.3 150.2 83% 81–99 ✓
Georgia State @ Mercer +17.2 147.2 89% 67–78 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ North Florida -3.2 143.7 39% 72–63 ✓
Florida A&M @ Jacksonville +14.1 132.3 87% 82–85 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Butler +18.4 144.9 88% 68–84 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ East Carolina +5.9 132.0 67% 56–68 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Charlotte +4.4 141.4 72% 57–74 ✓
Lehigh @ Binghamton -5.4 139.6 37% 71–80 ✗
Brown @ Rhode Island +16.4 132.6 87% 56–66 ✓
William & Mary @ Duquesne -3.2 160.0 39% 83–79 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Dayton +5.7 142.7 71% 71–88 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Providence +22.2 160.0 90% 64–94 ✓
Virginia Tech @ South Carolina +5.1 149.7 68% 86–83 ✗
Oklahoma @ Wake Forest +12.2 156.2 82% 86–68 ✗
Texas A&M @ Pittsburgh -1.2 144.3 40% 81–73 ✓
Florida @ Duke +16.0 152.6 86% 66–67 ✓
Western Illinois @ Drake +12.6 135.5 85% 57–108 ✓
Grambling @ Tulane +5.2 147.4 72% 63–65 ✓
Winthrop @ Long Island University -4.6 149.6 31% 94–92 ✓
Purdue @ Rutgers -13.9 140.1 25% 81–65 ✓
Houston Christian @ North Texas +7.3 129.5 68% 75–77 ✓
Wagner @ Maryland +4.4 151.2 73% 63–89 ✓
Morehead State @ Murray State +16.7 153.8 88% 52–84 ✓
Washington State @ Bradley +9.5 150.4 82% 60–64 ✓
UT Arlington @ Arkansas State +1.6 140.9 62% 63–83 ✓
Lindenwood @ Northern Illinois +5.8 146.3 72% 99–64 ✗
Valparaiso @ Marquette +9.1 143.4 77% 72–75 ✓
Sacramento State @ Baylor +18.6 151.9 88% 88–110 ✓
Central Michigan @ Loyola Chicago -0.4 136.1 47% 72–83 ✗
Sam Houston @ Oklahoma State +11.4 162.2 83% 83–93 ✓
UConn @ Kansas +4.5 138.5 66% 61–56 ✗
Stetson @ Grand Canyon +16.9 137.3 88% 45–67 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Pepperdine +5.7 133.3 68% 71–63 ✗
Nicholls @ Creighton +13.5 138.5 86% 76–96 ✓
Miami @ Ole Miss +0.4 146.0 55% 75–66 ✗
Georgia @ Florida State +1.2 167.9 59% 107–73 ✗
Missouri @ Notre Dame +1.6 142.2 61% 71–76 ✓
North Carolina @ Kentucky +10.8 155.4 80% 67–64 ✗
USC @ Oregon -8.3 158.5 23% 82–77 ✓
UC San Diego @ Nevada -0.1 150.7 54% 70–76 ✗
Utah @ California +17.1 154.0 88% 72–79 ✓
Saint Louis @ Loyola Marymount -1.9 142.6 42% 91–70 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ UIC +17.0 155.1 89% 63–62 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ Lipscomb +13.4 145.8 87% 80–83 ✓
Northeastern @ Holy Cross -3.9 135.3 33% 59–76 ✗
Wright State @ Youngstown State +2.3 144.9 57% 68–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.