Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +2 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | TULN -4.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.0 (-31.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -6.1 (-4.1) | 141.2 (-13.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -4.5 (-2.5) | 147.1 (-19.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -5.0 (-3.0) | 149.3 (-21.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -5.2 (-3.2) | 147.4 (-19.4) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2020 | TULN 77 – 65 GRAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-8 | 7-5 |
| Away | 6-4 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#243) | -4.5 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#164) | -0.39 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#191) | -0.67 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#181) | 0.494 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 29.0 | 27.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.7 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 18.8% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 39.5% | 33.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 62.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 35.9% |
Game Analysis
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