Betting Lines
| Spread | BUT -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | BUT -2800 EMU +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUT +16 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | BUT -21.2 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUT -18.8 (-2.8) | 146.4 (+5.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUT -17.8 (-1.8) | 142.2 (+9.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUT -18.3 (-2.3) | 142.2 (+9.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUT -18.4 (-2.4) | 144.9 (+7.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2023 | BUT 94 – 55 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUT | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-7 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 14.8 (#24) | -1.0 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.84 (#24) | 0.84 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.45 (#20) | 1.01 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#39) | 0.513 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUT | EMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.4% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 45.3 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 15.3 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 42.8% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 31.9% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.1% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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