Betting Lines
| Spread | JAX -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JAX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +3 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | JAX -17.1 (-14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (+33.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JAX -12.0 (-9.0) | 134.0 (+33.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JAX -11.6 (-8.6) | 133.9 (+33.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JAX -13.3 (-10.3) | 133.5 (+33.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JAX -14.1 (-11.1) | 132.3 (+34.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | FAMU 72 – 65 JAX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JAX | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-4 | 8-4 |
| Away | 3-14 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#228) | -15.5 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#142) | -2.70 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#151) | -4.51 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#126) | 0.445 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JAX | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 35.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 26.2% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 39.9% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 23.5% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 57.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.0% | 38.0% |
Game Analysis
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