Betting Lines
| Spread | JAX -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | FAMU +150 JAX -180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +7 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | JAX -0.1 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JAX -0.7 (+7.7) | 142.0 (-5.0) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JAX -1.5 (+8.5) | 142.9 (-5.9) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JAX -0.4 (+7.4) | 145.7 (-8.7) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JAX -0.2 (+7.2) | 142.6 (-5.6) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | JAX 85 – 82 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-4 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-11 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -13.8 (#341) | -9.3 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.37 (#332) | -0.25 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.68 (#336) | -0.69 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#279) | 0.486 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 23.4% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 58.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 59.7% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.8% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
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