Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 176.5 Over |
| Money | FSU -122 UGA +102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +34 | 180 | Lost |
| Massey | UGA -2.2 (-31.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 180.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -0.1 (-33.9) | 169.0 (+11.0) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FSU -2.7 (-36.7) | 165.7 (+14.3) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FSU -1.1 (-35.1) | 169.0 (+11.0) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FSU -1.2 (-35.2) | 167.9 (+12.1) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2023 | UGA 68 – 66 FSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FSU | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-6 | 14-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 89.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 79.8 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#53) | 18.0 (#13) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#116) | 1.34 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#96) | 1.43 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#117) | 0.550 (#105) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FSU | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 44.1 |
| OREB / G | 14.4 | 14.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 38.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 44.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.1% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 65.4% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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