Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Under |
| Money | FSU -430 UGA +328 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +2 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | FSU -15.4 (-17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FSU -8.5 (-10.5) | 147.8 (-13.8) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FSU -13.0 (-15.0) | 145.4 (-11.4) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FSU -13.7 (-15.7) | 145.1 (-11.1) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FSU -12.3 (-14.3) | 148.0 (-14.0) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | UGA 107 – 73 FSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FSU | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 20-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-7 | 13-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#60) | -1.3 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#58) | -0.41 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.23 (#71) | -0.40 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.646 (#29) | 0.538 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FSU | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.1% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.3% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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