Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | DRKE -2800 WIU +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +51 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -18.4 (+32.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (+24.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -18.0 (+33.0) | 136.6 (+28.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -13.0 (+38.0) | 136.7 (+28.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -13.5 (+37.5) | 136.0 (+29.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -12.6 (+38.4) | 135.5 (+29.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 1-19 |
| Home | 6-11 | 4-11 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#145) | -11.2 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#171) | -4.13 (#363) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#132) | -6.35 (#363) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#112) | 0.345 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 0.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 12.8% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.9% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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