Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +15 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | KENN -20.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 173.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -15.1 (-0.1) | 152.9 (+8.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -15.0 (+0.0) | 152.3 (+8.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -15.9 (-0.9) | 153.9 (+7.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -17.0 (-2.0) | 152.4 (+8.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 7-3 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.0 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 83.8 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#205) | -17.5 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#221) | -1.01 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#244) | -1.48 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#281) | 0.484 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 36.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 28.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 42.8% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 37.5% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 58.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 58.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 44.8% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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