Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | BING +145 LEH -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BING win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BING +9 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | LEH -4.4 (+13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -4.7 (+13.7) | 138.0 (+13.0) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -4.4 (+13.4) | 137.3 (+13.7) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -6.1 (+15.1) | 141.3 (+9.7) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -5.4 (+14.4) | 139.6 (+11.4) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BING | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-8 | 13-4 |
| Away | 1-14 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -15.7 (#355) | -6.1 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.42 (#365) | -1.03 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.90 (#365) | -1.32 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.289 (#363) | 0.467 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BING | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 22.1% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 28.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.7% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 20.9% |
| FT Rate | 37.5% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.3% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 61.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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