Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | URI -1350 BRWN +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +10 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | URI -19.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -15.7 (-5.7) | 133.7 (-11.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -14.4 (-4.4) | 134.9 (-12.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -16.1 (-6.1) | 134.2 (-12.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -16.4 (-6.4) | 132.6 (-10.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2024 | BRWN 84 – 80 URI |
| Dec 7, 2023 | BRWN 67 – 64 URI |
| Dec 8, 2022 | BRWN 59 – 58 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 9-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 3-11 |
| Home | 10-6 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#75) | -5.7 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#46) | -1.80 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.11 (#45) | -2.79 (#311) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#106) | 0.362 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 31.8% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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