Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | URI -175 BRWN +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +1 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | URI -1.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.1 (-8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -1.4 (-2.4) | 128.3 (-11.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -0.7 (-1.7) | 130.5 (-13.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -0.9 (-1.9) | 131.6 (-14.6) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -1.2 (-2.2) | 129.1 (-12.1) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | URI 66 – 56 BRWN |
| Dec 11, 2024 | BRWN 84 – 80 URI |
| Dec 7, 2023 | BRWN 67 – 64 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-7 |
| Home | 7-9 | 7-5 |
| Away | 1-10 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#287) | -2.6 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#318) | -0.37 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#299) | -0.36 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#304) | 0.429 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 25.4% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.4% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 80.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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