Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 169.5 Over |
| Money | OKST -1100 SHSU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +10 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -11.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 176.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -11.4 (-1.4) | 162.2 (+13.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -9.3 (+0.7) | 158.7 (+17.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -11.5 (-1.5) | 160.2 (+15.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -11.9 (-1.9) | 161.2 (+14.8) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2023 | OKST 85 – 70 SHSU |
| Dec 7, 2022 | OKST 65 – 51 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-7 |
| Home | 15-6 | 13-1 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.9 | 80.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.2 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 12.9 (#36) | 7.1 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.50 (#12) | 1.20 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.08 (#13) | 1.35 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#57) | 0.615 (#34) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 43.3 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 39.5% |
| FT Rate | 32.3% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 61.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 35.5% |
Game Analysis
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