Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
| Money | OKST -292 SHSU +235 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +15 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -1.0 (+14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.3 (+26.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -0.8 (+15.8) | 132.8 (+22.2) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -1.5 (+16.5) | 131.5 (+23.5) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -3.7 (+11.3) | 136.4 (+18.6) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | OKST 93 – 83 SHSU |
| Dec 7, 2022 | OKST 65 – 51 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 13-3 |
| Home | 10-8 | 12-2 |
| Away | 1-9 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#310) | 3.1 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#334) | 1.48 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.18 (#334) | 2.80 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.250 (#219) | 0.812 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 35.7% |
| 3PT% | 21.7% | 22.5% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 39.7% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 17.9% |
| FT Rate | 14.3% | 42.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 25.9% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 78.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.3% | 15.6% |
Game Analysis
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