Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | CLT -380 NCAT +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +17 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -6.6 (+10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (-18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -4.3 (+12.7) | 138.6 (-7.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -4.4 (+12.6) | 142.0 (-11.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -4.3 (+12.7) | 141.8 (-10.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -4.4 (+12.6) | 141.4 (-10.4) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2020 | CLT 76 – 72 NCAT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-6 | 6-6 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#195) | -3.0 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#255) | -0.34 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#229) | -0.64 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#253) | 0.466 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 36.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.0% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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