Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | CLT -1000 NCAT +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +4 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | CLT -16.4 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.5 (+16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -10.8 (-6.8) | 134.3 (+13.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -13.5 (-9.5) | 133.8 (+14.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -14.2 (-10.2) | 134.5 (+13.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -14.4 (-10.4) | 134.9 (+13.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | CLT 74 – 57 NCAT |
Game Analysis
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