Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | LMU +270 SLU -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +21 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | SLU -5.8 (-15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (+16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -4.8 (-16.2) | 141.7 (+19.3) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -3.2 (-17.8) | 140.7 (+20.3) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -3.5 (-17.5) | 141.9 (+19.1) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -1.9 (-19.1) | 142.6 (+18.4) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2024 | SLU 77 – 71 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 15-3 |
| Home | 10-8 | 19-0 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 86.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#151) | 12.5 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#104) | 1.71 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#125) | 2.45 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#186) | 0.574 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 43.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 57.4% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 32.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 41.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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