Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | SLU -275 LMU +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +6 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -5.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (+7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -1.9 (+4.1) | 136.8 (+11.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -2.1 (+3.9) | 135.3 (+12.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -0.4 (+5.6) | 138.0 (+10.0) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | SLU 91 – 70 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#268) | -3.4 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.16 (#357) | -1.06 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.78 (#361) | -1.35 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.083 (#362) | 0.625 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 33.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 26.9% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.4% | 39.2% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 12.2% |
| FT Rate | 13.1% | 6.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 85.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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