Betting Lines
| Spread | CONN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | KU +130 CONN -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CONN +5 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | KU -1.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-25.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -3.3 (-8.3) | 137.8 (-20.8) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -4.4 (-9.4) | 137.0 (-20.0) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KU -5.0 (-10.0) | 138.9 (-21.9) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -4.5 (-9.5) | 138.5 (-21.5) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | KU 69 – 65 CONN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 34-6 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 17-3 |
| Home | 13-2 | 15-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 10-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 15.9 (#20) | 19.4 (#11) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.82 (#26) | 3.32 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.42 (#21) | 5.14 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#25) | 0.669 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.7% | 42.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.2% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 32.1% |
Game Analysis
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