Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | SC -155 VT +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +3 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | SC -4.6 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.9 (+11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -5.6 (-8.6) | 149.3 (+19.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -5.7 (-8.7) | 146.0 (+23.0) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SC -5.3 (-8.3) | 147.1 (+21.9) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -5.1 (-8.1) | 149.7 (+19.3) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2024 | SC 70 – 60 VT |
| Nov 11, 2023 | SC 79 – 77 VT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | VT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-8 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-8 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#87) | 7.3 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#129) | 1.38 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#107) | 2.08 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#129) | 0.583 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | VT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.77 | 1.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 12.3% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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