Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | VT +205 SC -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +10 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | SC -6.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -3.3 (-6.7) | 139.8 (-9.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -3.2 (-6.8) | 137.5 (-7.5) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -3.5 (-6.5) | 139.8 (-9.8) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -2.8 (-7.2) | 138.9 (-8.9) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | VT 86 – 83 SC |
| Nov 11, 2023 | SC 79 – 77 VT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 2-16 |
| Home | 8-9 | 10-8 |
| Away | 5-5 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#207) | 4.1 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#247) | -0.08 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#212) | -0.27 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#261) | 0.539 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 39.5% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.1% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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